Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.035591 0.041164 0.047338 0.054687 0.063200 0.072758 0.084311
2026-01-25 0.027531 0.035029 0.044165 0.056128 0.071407 0.090300 0.115495
2026-02-01 0.021536 0.029458 0.039836 0.054454 0.074567 0.101352 0.139877
2026-02-08 0.017929 0.026020 0.037266 0.054083 0.078686 0.113516 0.166844
2026-02-15 0.015255 0.023294 0.035050 0.053558 0.082107 0.124714 0.193581
2026-02-22 0.013542 0.021634 0.034018 0.054434 0.087450 0.139110 0.226775
2026-03-01 0.011924 0.019844 0.032472 0.054175 0.090815 0.150660 0.256815
2026-03-08 0.010371 0.017919 0.030412 0.052721 0.091898 0.158468 0.281474
2026-03-15 0.009064 0.016213 0.028468 0.051143 0.092456 0.165291 0.305110
2026-03-22 0.008339 0.015418 0.027962 0.051975 0.097288 0.180041 0.344813
2026-03-29 0.007630 0.014555 0.027215 0.052240 0.101054 0.193225 0.383217
2026-04-05 0.006994 0.013741 0.026449 0.052346 0.104484 0.206109 0.422631
2026-04-12 0.006490 0.013132 0.026021 0.053099 0.109364 0.222579 0.471929
2026-04-19 0.006104 0.012712 0.025910 0.054475 0.115690 0.242761 0.531864
2026-04-26 0.005458 0.011678 0.024441 0.052846 0.115512 0.249457 0.563666
2026-05-03 0.005008 0.010998 0.023620 0.052485 0.117994 0.262075 0.610315
2026-05-10 0.004594 0.010348 0.022782 0.051976 0.120061 0.273996 0.656966
2026-05-17 0.004332 0.010002 0.022564 0.052825 0.125316 0.293715 0.724754
2026-05-24 0.004014 0.009487 0.021908 0.052574 0.127949 0.307659 0.780393
2026-05-31 0.003647 0.008818 0.020821 0.051164 0.127600 0.314443 0.818995
2026-06-07 0.003311 0.008181 0.019739 0.049633 0.126758 0.319901 0.854931
2026-06-14 0.003147 0.007949 0.019602 0.050440 0.131940 0.341080 0.935527
2026-06-21 0.002965 0.007650 0.019265 0.050697 0.135723 0.359137 1.010219